The Browns defense led by Myles Garrett will continue to be a strong point for the team after finishing fifth in total defense and passing defense in 2021. They strengthened their roster around the quarterback position through the 2022 offseason by bringing in Amari Cooper and shipping out the reliable but less spectacular Jarvis Landry. The Bengals are back in the post season and as winners, not habitual losers.ĭeshaun Watson's fate and can plan around his availability for the 2022 season. They lost more tight games than they won and were worthy of 10.5 wins based on points scored and allowed. Narrow post season wins, until the offensive line creaked once again in the three-point Super Bowl loss wasn't typical of their regular season play. The offensive line issues have been addressed and the defense was around league average in 2021. The expectation for the Bengals is no longer if they can avoid fourth place in the AFC North, but how deep into the post season they can be taken by their franchise QB, Joe Burrow and his explosive wide receivers.īurrow threw for a yard per attempt further than opposition defenses typically allowed, despite a poor offensive line that did little to protect their star man and a running game that languished well below par. The health woes should be better in 2022, their turnover differential of -11 should also be less extreme and the Ravens can build on their 8.5 Pythagorean wins from 2021 to The Ravens went 1-5 in Jackson’s absence, so his health is key to their success and in a run of 0-6 games to finish the season, five were lost by 3 points or fewer. Through Baltimore’s injury plagued 2021 season they had over 20 players placed on injured reserve, including QB Lamar Jackson for five games leaving them with eight wins and 4th place in the AFC North. Rebilas-USA TODAY Sports Baltimore Ravens Joe Burrow and the Bengals must look to prove their Superbowl appearance in 2022 was no fluke © Mark J.

Turnover differential should be less extreme and more helpful in 2022, helping push

A slightly above average run game didn’t compensate and on nine occasions 18 was the limit of their scoring.ĭefense was an even bigger concern, especially against the pass, but their poor 2021 has enabled an exciting draft on both sides of the ball. The Jets four wins were all narrow margin victories and QB Zach Wilson struggled passing the ball, propping up the NFL’s performance indicators. The Patriots similarly keep points off the board, despite a leaky run defense and The impact of losing Offensive Coordinator, Josh McDaniels remains to be seen. Recruitment has been quiet after an active free agency in 2021 but they pass the ball well, backed up by an above average run game and leverage more points than expected because of Belichick’s coaching expertise. Although they split the regular season series, the Patriot’s win was a weather assisted freak where the Pats attempted just three passes all game and rode the luck.īuffalo won the postseason matchup by 30 points, but New England remain a competitive outfit outside of their divisional rivalry. The Patriot’s position in the AFC East pecking order is clear: they trail the Bills by a considerable distance. Going over 9.5 wins looks a stretch, so take the under The defense was no more than league average and The headline acquisition of field breaking Tyreek Hill aims to fix an offense that was poor through the air and even worse on the ground. Miami’s chose to dump popular Brian Flores, the head coach who had a winning record since 2020 and finished the year with a rattle, albeit missing the playoffs. Will the Dolphins resemble the side that went 1-7 in the first half of 2021, or the one that turned it around and went 8-1 in the second half of the year? Lock in the early value for the Bills to lift the Super Bowl as one of the best NFL bets this week They fell at the second hurdle in the 2021 postseason, in a points laden finale in Kansas City, but they were statistically impressive throughout the regular season on both sides of the ball.įive of their six losses were by seven or fewer points, their turnover differential was positive, but not excessively so and their points record was more typical of a team with 13 wins, rather than 11 wins.Ī weak AFC East division, which they have an 80% chance of topping in simulations, all but guarantees a playoff berth so The Bills are the current Super Bowl favorites. Josh Allen and the Bills are heavily favorited to win Superbowl LVII © Jamie Germano / USA TODAY NETWORK Buffalo Bills

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